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Expert picks 2010 Asian currency outperformers

Date: 18 Feb 2010

UBS foreign exchange strategist Nizam Idris considers how Asian currencies are likely to perform against the US dollar this year given the pace of global recovery and the possihle threat of rising inflationary pressure.

Keywords (click to search): [UBS] [Nizam Idris] [foreign exchange] [Asian currencies] [US dollar] [inflation]

Asian economies are seeing large fund inflows as global economic recovery continues, while major central banks are not withdrawing liquidity in a big way just yet.

This is perhaps the sweet-spot for Asian currencies: funds are being put to work in risky assets and Asian currencies at the expense of currencies which pay lower interest rates. This seems likely to persist for the near one- to three-month horizon.

But Asian central banks’ mercantilist tendencies will remain a hindrance...

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